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Comedy Predictions for Emmys Lead Actress 2024

Variety The Awards Circuit section is home to all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect the personal preferences of any individual participant. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.

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Emmy predictions for 2024:
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Mary Ellen Matthews for Variation

Weekly commentary (updated: June 6, 2024): “Abbott Elementary” star and creator Quinta Brunson has made history at the Primetime Emmys over the past two years; The show’s first season made her the first black woman to be nominated for comedy series, writing and acting in the same year. She became the second black woman to win the writing prize.

For the second season, despite the glaring clerical error (better not this time), she became the second black woman to win for acting, after Isabel Sanford for “The Jeffersons.” This third season marks her best performance yet as the bubbly and impressive teacher Janine Teagues. Can she double again this year?

(Look at Brunson’s powerful Variety Actors on Actors Interview)

Meanwhile, “The Bear” saw Ayo Edebiri become the third Black woman to win the supporting comedy actress award last year for her standout role as young chef Sydney Adamu on FX’s critically acclaimed series. This year, she’s shifting her campaign gear to the main category for the show’s second season, already basking in the glow of Golden Globe and SAG awards.

If Brunson or Edebiri claim victory, they would become only the second Black woman to win an Emmy acting award twice for the same character. Uzo Aduba won two Emmys for her portrayal of “Crazy Eyes” in Netflix’s “Orange is the New Black,” but in two separate categories: guest comedy actress in 2014 and supporting drama actress in 2015. While Edebiri would mimic a similar earnings card, Brunson would be the first in the same category.

Note: Regina King won two Emmys for the anthology crime drama “American Crime” in 2015 and 2016. However, she played different characters throughout the seasons.

And one piece for the history books: If Brunson and Edebiri are nominated along with Maya Rudolph (“Loot”), this would be the most black women ever nominated for lead comedy actress in the same year. We should point out the other critically acclaimed artists in the race, such as Jaz Sinclair (“Gen V”), Renée Elise Goldsberry (“Girls5eva”), Diarra Kilpatrick (“Diarra from Detriot”) and Folake Olowofoyeku (“Bob Hearts Abishola”)

Voting for the Primetime Emmy nominations begins on June 13.

Read: Variety Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.